Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.537462 0.627184 0.724834 0.838690 0.967470 1.108281 1.273552
2025-01-19 0.391220 0.511270 0.654461 0.836410 1.059877 1.323716 1.656965
2025-01-26 0.308862 0.444084 0.618107 0.855130 1.165724 1.554686 2.073802
2025-02-02 0.250364 0.391572 0.585695 0.866152 1.253996 1.763595 2.474415
2025-02-09 0.206341 0.348446 0.555750 0.871242 1.328373 1.954104 2.859900
2025-02-16 0.177409 0.321033 0.541930 0.893768 1.424467 2.176606 3.299828
2025-02-23 0.151292 0.292647 0.521290 0.901361 1.496363 2.366860 3.703965
2025-03-02 0.122976 0.254989 0.479901 0.870332 1.504719 2.462462 3.974714
2025-03-09 0.109144 0.240143 0.473329 0.892995 1.596060 2.684963 4.442970
2025-03-16 0.095993 0.224025 0.461965 0.905446 1.670533 2.884635 4.886320
2025-03-23 0.089283 0.219276 0.469957 0.951264 1.802313 3.180414 5.492223
2025-03-30 0.077753 0.202396 0.453005 0.950380 1.854113 3.350333 5.908154
2025-04-06 0.066318 0.183799 0.430758 0.938293 1.887025 3.494148 6.295344
2025-04-13 0.056871 0.167789 0.411410 0.929398 1.924509 3.647510 6.706455
2025-04-20 0.051087 0.159361 0.406551 0.947917 2.012766 3.891395 7.279264
2025-04-27 0.045491 0.150191 0.398727 0.959353 2.088102 4.116439 7.830622
2025-05-04 0.040204 0.140641 0.388624 0.964726 2.151694 4.323539 8.360326
2025-05-11 0.036750 0.135418 0.387712 0.989238 2.253810 4.604224 9.029603
2025-05-18 0.032772 0.127731 0.379795 0.997501 2.323843 4.829731 9.611431
2025-05-25 0.027240 0.113804 0.354330 0.963657 2.305580 4.890753 9.902537
2025-06-01 0.025063 0.110151 0.354504 0.988372 2.409614 5.185355 10.626625
2025-06-08 0.022651 0.105075 0.350174 1.001948 2.490849 5.440209 11.288262
2025-06-15 0.021812 0.105416 0.360610 1.051886 2.652972 5.857821 12.265978